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Source Files 009: Submarines, Sanctions, and NATO's Deterrence Pivot

Six documents on naval buildups, congressional defense dollars, autonomous weapons risk, and NATO's strategic reset

Nov 10, 2026
∙ Paid
Source Files 009 cover: a file folder tab reading File 009, November 9, with a contents list of 6 documents, two marked free and 4 for members.

Source Files · Files collected November 2 to 8, 2026

This edition tracks where defense power is being built, funded, and rethought. Two Indo-Pacific pieces chart the submarine counts and strategic culture behind the US-China naval contest, while two CRS briefs show Congress wrestling with Iran sanctions blowback and military construction dollars. A technical look at autonomous weapons and a doctrinal review of NATO's deterrence pivot round out a set spanning hardware, funding, and alliance strategy.

1. Sea Power in the Indo-Pacific

Dongkeun Lee · 411 pages · 2026 · Indo-Pacific sea power

A 411-page thesis comparing how geopolitics and maritime strategic culture shape naval power in the US, China, Japan, Australia and South Korea from the pre-Cold War era to the 2020s. It offers a long-horizon framework for judging which Indo-Pacific navies can convert ships into actual strategic effect. Headline finding: Sea power development accelerates when a politico-military establishment adopts a maritime strategic culture, leading to deployment of naval assets for sea control or SLOC protection. (p. 343)

Library page · Original source

2. Dialogue Social Science Review (DSSR)

Dialogue Social Science Review (DSSR) · 17 pages · Jan 22, 2026 · US-China rivalry

An analysis of US-China strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific covering naval buildups, alliances, infrastructure projects and regional hedging strategies. It lays out the hard numbers behind the naval arms race shaping Indo-Pacific security planning today. Headline finding: China expanded its naval capabilities between 2017 and 2025, increasing its submarine fleet to 73 and commissioning the Fujian aircraft carrier to enhance power projection. (p. 9)

Library page · Original source

The two files above are free. The next four are where this week gets interesting.

  • 3. U.S. Sanctions on Iran: Background and Political Context (CRS). Could the sanctions meant to isolate Iran actually be driving it toward its rivals' allies?

  • 4. FY2027 Proposed Military Construction Appropriations: A Summary (CRS). How far below that request did the House actually fund military construction and family housing?

  • 5. Artificial Intelligence and Human-out-of-the-Loop: Is It Time for Autonomous Military Systems? (Miskolc). What kind of attack could trick an autonomous weapon system into targeting the wrong thing?

  • 6. NATO'S STRATEGIC ADAPTATION IN THE ERA OF SYSTEMIC RIVALRY: FROM (Nato Adapt). What exactly pushed NATO to abandon its old crisis-management paradigm for deterrence?

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